Fed chief Janet Yellen slammed on the brakes Wednesday when announcing a pause in rate hikes.
The move sent markets into a spasm for a brief moment as the VIX (or fear index) fell to its all-time lowest level and bond yields jerked higher before leveling off. Stocks had the most muted reaction moving slowly higher.
So now we have all of Washington on stand still as stocks will move higher. Nothing coming from Congress to worry equities and the Fed will not be able to raise rates again this year.
As far as paring back its balance sheet, we will see what happens there on Friday.
The feds will release the first look at Q2 GDP, which by most estimates will come in at 2% plus or minus a tenth of a point. This is not the growth Trump is looking for, but since none of his economic initiatives have been implemented or really discussed it’s just more of the same for the last eight years.
Since I’m a betting man, I believe the Q2 GDP will come in at 1.7% and be revised down in the coming months. There’s just no reason to believe that Americans are spending their meager salaries on anything but the essentials.
But let’s look at the latest White House/Russia/Election news story, which will be covered by the NY Times or Washington Post, and let the Dow, S&P and Nasdaq hit a new all-time high. Keep Trump on the defensive, bottle him up in a Cabinet pissing match, so the rest of America can continue to suffer from neglect.
No need for stimulus or middle class tax cut or infrastructure spending. No, keep Washington on the sidelines and Wall Street will reward the 1 percenters with higher returns.