Trump’s dinner last night could tip a new tax cut plan coming tonight

Tuesday’s post will have some high-octane speculation dealing with tonight’s State Of The Union speech by President Trump.

First all the major stock indices jumped in the last 5 minutes of trading Monday. For instance the Dow Jones rose almost 100 points as traders banged the close.

This could mean that a rumor went through the market that professionals wanted  in before the news broke.

Second bit of news: President Trump and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin had dinner at the White House with Federal Reserve chief Jerome Powell and Fed Vice Chairman Richard Clarida.

While the president has taken the Fed chief to task in the past on Twitter for his overzealous rate rising plan, this was the first time since Trump appointed Powell that the two met in person at the White House, according to the Federal Reserve spokesperson.

So I understand that the president would probably not have a State Dinner scheduled for the night before the SOTU, but its curious these four would get together for a White House dinner prior to the speech.

That is unless the conversation was to brief the Fed leaders on a change in fiscal policy, which would impact the Fed’s monetary policy.

So my speculation is that we will see another tax cut proposed by the president in the speech. It may be on both the corporate and the personal sides. This makes sense since his first tax cut has worked its way through the economic cycle, and he could use the bump going into 2020 with a mid- to late-year stimulus plan.

How any legislation from the White House would get through the House in this election cycle is problematic at best. However, if the Democrats in the House deny a tax cut leading up to 2020, that could be the death knell for the party in 2020.

We will see in a matter of hours whether I am right.

Stay tuned


White House's daily surprise

President Trump took his message to the airways Thursday to lambaste the left-wing news operations, such as CNN.

Each day from this administration the media witnesses a what can only be called “never before seen from the White House” moment.

Whether this is a benefit for the country is up to the observer. Certainly if you are from the middle of the country you have no problem with the theatrics.

As I wrote before the election, Trump’s support lives more than two hours drive time from the coasts of America. And if you look at the election maps this is true.

However, the media on the two coasts, New York and the news media and Hollywood and its TV shows and films, have the voice to act as the loyal opposition.

If you look at the ratings of these cable news shows, then you can see how marginalized their agenda is playing in middle America. With CNN and MSNBC having less than 800K and 700K viewers respectively during the day, according to the latest numbers, so their reach is very limited.

HGTV has more eyeballs during the day than these two news outlets. The last piece of evidence is Fox being number 1 in the ratings with 1.8M last week.

I would suggest to the Trump team to forget about these news outlets by not putting administration members on their shows and let them stand at the White House gate jumping up and down trying to get a view of what is going on.

Saturday is a case in point. the President will be at a Melbourne, Florida rally, which is listed as an election campaign stop. Trump registered last month for his 2020 run for president.

By doing this the campaign can limit who can cover the event. It’s not an official event, it is by invitation only, so White House reporters do not automatically get credentials.

Again another event that has never happen before this early in a presidential term.