Election Day is upon us and just as if it was the 2016 presidential election, the pollsters are all in agreement the Democrats will win the House majority.
They believe they can never lose.
The political website FiveThirtyEight tabulated that Democrats have an 87.5 percent chance of winning back the House. Mind you this is the same website, run by Nate Silver, that said Hilary Clinton had a 95%+ chance of winning the White House the day before the election.
As I wrote over the weekend, I see the Democrats winning their existing seats by a larger margin as voters in the darker blue states come out in bigger numbers to vote. However in the vast majority of the interior of the US, the Republicans will retain their seats and control of the House.
Putting aside the anti-Trump wing — or majority — of the Democratic Party, most people vote with their pocketbook. Wages and job growth are two important data points for any American to disregard.
If the Democrats had an economic plan for the future, then I have not heard it put forth by any candidate running in my area. That includes New York state Governor Andrew Cuomo.
Lots of additional spending to buy votes, but no concrete plans on how to pay for it. The old tax and spend playbook.
My election night coverage is usually spent watching the stock futures market, since there is huge money being “wagered” on the outcome and they have the best unbiased polling data in the country.
So my hope for this Election Day is the peaceful civic responsibility of all Americans to get out and vote and somewhere around 10 pm Tuesday night we should know what the next two years will be.
I believe it will be glorious.