No fear or loathing in the markets

Do you recall the days when markets would pull back when there was a terrorist event in the world?

When investors would at least pause when the fired FBI Director was speaking on Capitol Hill about events and conversations with the White House?

Some of these market participants would even sell when the Federal Reserve raised rates. Speaking of the Fed — the ultimate backstop on falling security prices — it said last week it would begin pulling some $2 trillion out of the markets over the next 2 years or so.

What did we get from the markets?  Crickets

These investors used to be called skittish. But they seem to be gone. They have been muscled out by money that seems to know something. There are so many signs that the market is ready for a pull back.

What that something is that the markets know could certainly be helpful to small investors.

However, this is the time market pros say when the “dumb money” comes into the market. Small investors seeing new record highs most days and who have been on the sidelines fearing a repeat of 1987, 2001 and 2008.

I’m of the opinion that you don’t need to catch the last 5% move upwards, when the risk is you could get caught in a 50% downside collapse. It’s not a zero-sum game, you can take some profits and leave some positions for the possibility markets will go higher.

 

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