New Fed chief Jay Powell ends his first two-day meeting with a press conference Wednesday.
The market has a 90% expectation for a 0.25% rise in Fed Funds Rate to 1.5%-1.25% range. More importantly is Powell’s comments on the economy. Since the Fed is the 800-lbs gorilla in the government bond market, I don’t expect anything sensational coming from his comments.
Any policy changes will be on the edges as traders parse the statement for future moves.
The key to the statement is whether there would be 3 or 4 hikes this year. Powell in Congressional testimony has been perhaps overly optimistic on the economy.
I am on the record saying there will only be this hike for 2018, as Corporate America is addicted to cheap money to pump up share prices by borrowing cash to fund stock buybacks.
The steeping of yield curve — while very good for bank profits if they ramp up lending — increases current borrowing costs at a time of greater issuance to fund corporate tax breaks.
The Austin, Texas bomber killed himself in an explosion this Wednesday morning after a shootout with the police and FBI.
Interesting Q-Anon posted last night that the FBI opened a file on the entity because of the use of BOOMs in his posts and a possible connection to the bomber.
Q-Anon says it’s a ruse to cut off communications, but it will fail.